A Grim Reminder Of The EU Debt Crisis
The European sovereign debt problems have largely disappeared from the headlines in recent weeks, but time and again we see reminders that the problems are far from over. Last week, Ireland announced that it will step up its program to reduce its deficit, through spending cuts and tax hikes, from 32 percent of GDP to 3 percent by 2014. In the Rockwell Trading report, the revised budget calls for 8 billion euros in savings next year, roughly twice as aggressive as originally planned.
But without clearer details of where the savings will come from, investors aren’t buying the announcement. They don’t see it as a reaffirmation of Ireland’s commitment to cut debt and a faster solution to the country’s debt woes, but rather as a sign of desperation to combat an out-of-control deficit problem. The yield on 10-year Irish bonds soared to 7.6 percent, widening the spread between Irish and benchmark German bond yields to a record. This has caused the European Central Bank to buy Irish bonds to help stop their slide.
The borrowing costs in Greece, Spain, and Portugal, other members of the PIIGS countries, are also spiking again. The spread between Portuguese and German bond yields are also at a record 4.52 percentage points, not a great sign for Portugal’s upcoming bond auction of as much as 1.25 billion euros later this week. Even with a 750 billion euro in bailout funds committed by the European Union and the International Monetary Fund, investors remain very wary.
Ireland isn’t in as bad shape as Greece was because it has a decent amount of cash on hand, but the latest episode serves as a grim reminder that investors have jitters when it comes to the EU debt problems. Any sign of weakness will revive fears and could spark an exaggerated negative reaction in asset markets, creating a snowball effect.
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Ahead of the Group of Twenty (G20) summit in Seoul later this week, the rhetoric between the U.S. and China over the prickly trade and exchange rate issues appears to have toned down. With the House of Representatives having passed a decisionbar bill to open the door for potential increases in duties on Chinese imports and China taking a hard-line approach, it looked like there could be some fireworks during the summit. However, both sides seem to have taken a step back.
A softening of China’s previous warning about the potentially damaging effects of the Fed’s quantitative easing on emerging markets (that include China itself), China’s Vice Finance Minister Wang Jun described the Fed’s planned $600 billion debt purchase as something that could contribute “tremendously” to global growth. Still another authority, Vice Finance Minster Zhu Guangyao repeated China’s concerns that the additional $600 billion in quantitative easing will provide a “shock” to the global economy and increase money flowing into emerging countries, potentially creating asset bubbles. As China’s global importance continues to rise, there will be more finger pointing as each side accuses the other of pursuing selfish policies that damages other economies.
While most of its developed nation peers struggle with deficit woes, Australia is expected to forecast a surplus of approximately $3 billion (Australian Dollars) in the 2012-2013 fiscal year (starts on July 1, 2012), according to a leading Australia business newspaper. Even with a minor pullback, the Australian dollar, or the Aussie, remains above parity with the greenback — its highest level since it began trading freely against the U.S. dollar nearly 30 years ago. According to government officials, Australia has little exposure to Europe. Expect Australia to remain a rare bright spot among developed countries.
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Categories: Money Tags: Debt, Freedom, Imagination, Internet, Knowledge, Money, Money Philosophy, Philosophy, Slave, Slavery


